Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 23 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.035 to 7.87.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.87 (+0.035)
- In: 7.84
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 70
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.67 | 3.67 | +0.001 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.27 | 10.36 | +0.083 | 4 |
| National Security | 6.61 | 6.61 | +0.008 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 8.23 | 8.26 | +0.035 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 9.60 | 9.60 | −0.001 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.48 | 9.48 | +0.002 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 8.60 | 8.76 | +0.164 | 17 → 16 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.90 | 6.90 | +0.003 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.18 | 7.20 | +0.019 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 201. Maintenance 160. Spent 41 on actions (build 41). 0 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance10 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability10 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
- BuildResource Infrastructure10 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure10 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access1 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 17 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monetary & Currency Capability | +0.60 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.39 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Social Infrastructure | +0.38 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Population Health | +0.22 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.21 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Transport Infrastructure | +0.12 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |