Round 9 · simulation 7 · cycle-003.e4-nga

Round 2005

Round 9 of 30 in simulation 7 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.064 to 7.87.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2005 (the end of 2004) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.87 (+0.063)
In: 7.81
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
14
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.843.85+0.00510
Strategic Infrastructure8.778.89+0.1236
National Security6.846.86+0.0146
Human Capital7.958.00+0.04412
Information & Influence9.619.69+0.0837
Governance & Integrity8.058.17+0.11814 → 13
Financial Strength9.269.39+0.13416
Production & Innovation7.697.72+0.02715 → 14
Trade & Investment8.288.31+0.02312

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2005: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 216, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 156. Spent 54 on actions (build 54). 14 carried over.

  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity11 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure11 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration11 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks11 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +7.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 13; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2005, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.55+0.520.00+0.030.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.40+0.380.00+0.010.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.34+0.260.00+0.06+0.02
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.29+0.210.00+0.06+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.24+0.210.00+0.030.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.22+0.170.00+0.060.00