Round 4 · simulation 19 · cycle-003.e4-rwa

Round 2000

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 19 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.136 to 4.83.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2000 (the end of 1999) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.83 (−0.136)
In: 4.96
Rank by index
122
In: 119
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
37
In: 27
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.092.06−0.03312
Strategic Infrastructure5.545.37−0.1709
National Security3.703.64−0.0588
Human Capital6.346.21−0.13414
Information & Influence5.205.03−0.17012 → 13
Governance & Integrity6.015.91−0.09318
Financial Strength5.815.58−0.22524 → 25
Production & Innovation4.944.80−0.14219
Trade & Investment5.054.85−0.19617

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2000: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 97, plus 27 carried in. Maintenance 77. Spent 10 on actions (build 10). 37 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.11 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health2 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 25.

The groups that moved most in 2000, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.360.000.00−0.34−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.350.000.00−0.34−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.330.000.00−0.32−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.310.000.00−0.30−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.270.000.00−0.260.00
Early Childhood Development−0.270.000.00−0.260.00