Round 24 · simulation 17 · cycle-003.e4-zwe

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 17 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.164 to 4.86.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.86 (−0.164)
In: 5.02
Rank by index
123
In: 120
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
111
In: 87
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.582.46−0.12312
Strategic Infrastructure6.536.45−0.0788
National Security4.174.08−0.0938 → 9
Human Capital6.916.68−0.23713 → 14
Information & Influence4.254.09−0.16014 → 15
Governance & Integrity6.286.14−0.14417
Financial Strength4.494.29−0.19727 → 30
Production & Innovation5.535.29−0.23117
Trade & Investment4.474.25−0.21317

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 121, plus 87 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 13 on actions (build 3, buy 11). 111 carried over.

  • BuyInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyResource Infrastructure3 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks3 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −12.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.420.000.00−0.39−0.03
Foundational Education−0.410.000.00−0.42+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.380.000.00−0.380.00
Health System Capability−0.360.000.00−0.360.00
Labour & Employment−0.340.000.00−0.30−0.03
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.310.000.00−0.310.00