Round 12 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zwe

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Global funding seizure and Legitimacy rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −0.855 to 5.37.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.37 (−0.855)
In: 6.23
Rank by index
113
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
53
In: 43
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.092.77−0.32112
Strategic Infrastructure7.877.21−0.6647 → 8
National Security5.174.66−0.5088
Human Capital8.307.68−0.62012 → 13
Information & Influence5.734.84−0.88411 → 14
Governance & Integrity7.346.48−0.86116 → 18
Financial Strength5.914.24−1.66523 → 30
Production & Innovation6.585.55−1.02416
Trade & Investment6.054.91−1.14915 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 152, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 53 carried over.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure8 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power8 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation8 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity8 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −27.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −23.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −10.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 14; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 18; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 30; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−2.270.000.00−2.27−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.840.000.00−1.83−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−1.830.000.00−1.830.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.630.000.00−1.630.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.610.000.00−1.620.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.600.000.00−1.600.00