Round 21 · simulation 2 · cycle-003.e4-zwe

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 2 of Zimbabwe, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.150 to 5.42.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.42 (−0.150)
In: 5.57
Rank by index
113
In: 110
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
37
In: 31
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.732.67−0.06212
Strategic Infrastructure7.197.12−0.0727
National Security4.634.40−0.2378
Human Capital7.547.43−0.10613
Information & Influence4.784.55−0.22914
Governance & Integrity6.816.61−0.20017
Financial Strength5.395.07−0.32625
Production & Innovation6.086.01−0.06416
Trade & Investment4.984.92−0.05517

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 136, plus 31 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 34 on actions (build 34). 37 carried over.

  • BuildResource Infrastructure7 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base7 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls7 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure7 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −12.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.690.000.00−0.72+0.03
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.540.000.00−0.540.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.540.000.00−0.530.00
Land Power−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration−0.380.000.00−0.38−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.360.000.00−0.360.00