Round 20 · simulation 12 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 12 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.117 to 13.45.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.45 (+0.117)
In: 13.33
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
12
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.7212.44+0.7194
Strategic Infrastructure13.9313.93+0.0073
National Security9.479.51+0.0335
Human Capital16.2216.24+0.0191
Information & Influence13.9214.06+0.1412
Governance & Integrity12.0712.07+0.0029
Financial Strength13.5913.68+0.0898 → 7
Production & Innovation13.1713.20+0.0262
Trade & Investment15.8615.87+0.0172

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 476, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 370. Spent 102 on actions (buy 102). 12 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 1 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 2 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing9 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.54+1.510.000.00+0.03
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.52+1.510.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+1.45+1.410.000.00+0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.29+1.280.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.67+0.660.000.00+0.01