Round 19 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-greedy-marginal

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.124 to 14.00.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index: 14.00 (+0.123); In: 13.88
Rank by index: 18; In: 19
Domains at Tier 1: 1; In: 1
Credits carried: 4; In: 3

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	12.50	12.77	+0.265	4 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure	14.43	14.48	+0.055	3
National Security	9.80	9.81	+0.011	5
Human Capital	16.71	16.75	+0.039	1
Information & Influence	14.52	14.67	+0.149	2
Governance & Integrity	12.61	12.67	+0.067	9 → 8
Financial Strength	14.26	14.30	+0.044	7
Production & Innovation	13.66	13.86	+0.201	2
Trade & Investment	16.44	16.72	+0.281	2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 489, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 410. Spent 77 on actions (buy 48, partner 29). 4 carried over.

BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks24 credits for 1.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent

Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +7.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Events	Graph
Artificial Intelligence	+1.55	+1.41	+0.02	+0.12
Economic Output & Productivity	+1.08	+1.04	+0.02	+0.02
Global Value Chain Position	+0.81	+0.74	+0.02	+0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics	+0.78	+0.74	+0.02	+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks	+0.73	+0.69	+0.01	+0.03
Space Technologies	+0.69	+0.66	+0.02	+0.01