Round 20 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 12.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.66 (+0.120)
In: 12.54
Rank by index
24
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
177
In: 143
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2211.70+0.4745 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.1613.17+0.0073
National Security9.219.22+0.0085
Human Capital15.0415.10+0.0581
Information & Influence12.8513.21+0.3623
Governance & Integrity11.1811.18+0.00110
Financial Strength12.9812.99+0.0078
Production & Innovation12.3612.51+0.1472
Trade & Investment14.8514.87+0.0173

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 451, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 319. Spent 98 on actions (buy 98). 177 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.50+1.300.000.00+0.20
Energy Technologies+1.40+1.370.000.00+0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.35+1.370.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.140.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.94+0.880.000.00+0.06
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.75+0.740.000.00+0.01