Round 3 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.074 to 11.83.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.83 (+0.074)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
39
In: 26
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.019.06+0.0556
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.469.48+0.0215
Human Capital12.4012.82+0.4196 → 4
Information & Influence11.8612.04+0.1745
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.130.0009
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 26 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 97 on actions (build 77, partner 19). 39 carried over.

  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 2 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 6 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education19 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.49+0.490.000.000.00