Round 5 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.141 to 12.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.09 (+0.142)
In: 11.95
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
55
In: 46
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.079.47+0.4056
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.489.48+0.0025
Human Capital13.3814.08+0.7003 → 2
Information & Influence12.2112.21+0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.130.0009
Production & Innovation12.1412.30+0.1596
Trade & Investment12.1812.19+0.0067

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 46 carried in. Maintenance 281. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 77). 55 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.05+1.930.000.00+0.12
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.93+1.930.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.49+1.490.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.39+1.390.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.08+1.080.000.000.00