Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.134 to 12.36.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.36 (+0.135)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 26
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 75
- In: 61
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.49 | 9.51 | +0.025 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.81 | +0.001 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.48 | 9.49 | +0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.65 | 15.02 | +0.372 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.51 | 12.68 | +0.175 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 12.12 | +0.001 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.21 | 13.34 | +0.137 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.32 | 12.58 | +0.256 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.43 | 12.67 | +0.239 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 405, plus 61 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 59). 75 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.92 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.68 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.95 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.81 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.75 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |