Round 16 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.118 to 13.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.59 (+0.118)
In: 13.47
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
108
In: 119
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.5111.72+0.2134
Strategic Infrastructure14.2214.31+0.0953
National Security9.719.80+0.0975
Human Capital16.5316.66+0.1311
Information & Influence14.0514.21+0.1613
Governance & Integrity12.3612.44+0.0799
Financial Strength13.8513.86+0.0118
Production & Innovation13.5913.63+0.0372
Trade & Investment15.4315.67+0.2402

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 475, plus 119 carried in. Maintenance 370. Spent 117 on actions (build 23, buy 70, partner 23). 108 carried over.

  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence23 credits for 1.61 levelsmctsahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence23 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls23 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.69+1.660.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.85+0.820.000.00+0.03
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.83+0.810.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.73+0.710.000.00+0.01
Foundational Education+0.71+0.690.000.00+0.02