Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.111 to 12.96.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.96 (+0.111)
- In: 12.85
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 164
- In: 151
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.77 | 11.13 | +0.362 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.86 | 13.89 | +0.028 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.54 | 9.56 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.53 | 15.66 | +0.127 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.37 | 13.45 | +0.078 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.83 | 11.84 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.20 | 13.21 | +0.016 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.74 | 12.77 | +0.025 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.82 | 15.16 | +0.338 | 4 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 453, plus 151 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 111 on actions (build 45, buy 45, partner 22). 164 carried over.
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation22 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access22 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education22 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.85 | +1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.57 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.81 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.75 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.71 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.56 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |