Round 18 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.148 to 13.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.23 (+0.148)
In: 13.09
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
140
In: 151
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.3811.83+0.4455 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.9214.01+0.0893
National Security9.589.59+0.0125
Human Capital15.7715.85+0.0791
Information & Influence13.5113.57+0.0603
Governance & Integrity11.8411.85+0.0049
Financial Strength13.4813.49+0.0088
Production & Innovation12.7913.17+0.3864 → 2
Trade & Investment15.4915.74+0.2502

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 456, plus 151 carried in. Maintenance 352. Spent 114 on actions (buy 114). 140 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing23 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity23 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.66+1.610.000.00+0.04
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.65+1.640.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.50+1.470.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.07+1.050.000.00+0.02
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.78+0.670.000.00+0.12
Global Value Chain Position+0.78+0.760.000.00+0.02