Round 20 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.147 to 13.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.46 (+0.148)
In: 13.31
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
97
In: 113
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.9212.58+0.6574 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure14.1014.12+0.0233
National Security9.609.61+0.0105
Human Capital16.0016.05+0.0501
Information & Influence13.6614.02+0.3583
Governance & Integrity11.8511.85+0.0049
Financial Strength13.5813.65+0.0758
Production & Innovation13.2013.23+0.0262
Trade & Investment15.8716.00+0.1232

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 472, plus 113 carried in. Maintenance 371. Spent 117 on actions (buy 117). 97 carried over.

  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems23 credits for 1.51 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies23 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance23 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.62+1.520.000.00+0.10
Energy Technologies+1.56+1.540.000.00+0.02
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.54+1.510.000.00+0.03
Artificial Intelligence+1.44+1.400.000.00+0.04
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.25+1.240.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.74+0.740.000.000.00