Round 6 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 27 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 12.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.22 (+0.107)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
59
In: 48
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.559.57+0.0276
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.429.42+0.0035
Human Capital14.0114.59+0.5792 → 1
Information & Influence12.5012.50+0.0025
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.21+0.0829
Production & Innovation12.3012.33+0.0286
Trade & Investment12.2012.44+0.2407

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 396, plus 48 carried in. Maintenance 288. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 58). 59 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 0.96 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.10+1.100.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.77+0.740.000.00+0.02