Round 5 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.078 to 11.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.51 (−0.077)
In: 11.59
Rank by index
32
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 5
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.498.47−0.0256
Strategic Infrastructure13.6213.52−0.1003
National Security9.469.460.0005
Human Capital13.0013.46+0.4613
Information & Influence11.7311.49−0.2376
Governance & Integrity11.8211.68−0.1469
Financial Strength12.6912.54−0.14110
Production & Innovation11.8311.61−0.2278
Trade & Investment11.6311.35−0.2828

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 336, plus 5 carried in. Maintenance 268. Spent 71 on actions (build 20, buy 34, partner 17). 2 carried over.

  • BuildArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation17 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −12.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.54+1.740.00−0.210.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.27+1.400.00−0.130.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.24+1.500.00−0.260.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.17+1.430.00−0.260.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.77+0.910.00−0.140.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.480.000.00−0.470.00