Round 11 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.135 to 12.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.35 (+0.134)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
158
In: 134
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.519.67+0.1545
Strategic Infrastructure13.7313.78+0.0523
National Security9.549.56+0.0175
Human Capital14.7715.02+0.2471
Information & Influence12.4512.46+0.0125
Governance & Integrity11.8411.83−0.0019
Financial Strength13.1213.12+0.0088
Production & Innovation12.0812.28+0.1965
Trade & Investment12.8813.41+0.5287 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 423, plus 134 carried in. Maintenance 295. Spent 105 on actions (build 21, buy 63, partner 21). 158 carried over.

  • BuyQuantum Technologies21 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Quantum Technologies+1.22+1.190.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.15+1.120.000.00+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.99+0.880.000.00+0.11
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.91+0.900.000.00+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.90+0.870.000.00+0.02