Round 20 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 3 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 13.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.46 (+0.127)
In: 13.33
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
143
In: 156
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.0512.63+0.5744 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure14.1014.12+0.0243
National Security9.759.79+0.0344
Human Capital15.7215.84+0.1251
Information & Influence14.0114.04+0.0272
Governance & Integrity11.8511.86+0.0059
Financial Strength13.6213.64+0.0158
Production & Innovation13.0613.28+0.2192
Trade & Investment15.8015.92+0.1181

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 478, plus 156 carried in. Maintenance 373. Spent 118 on actions (buy 118). 143 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.41 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion24 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies24 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation24 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems24 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.59+1.560.000.00+0.03
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.51+1.490.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+1.43+1.410.000.00+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.42+1.390.000.00+0.03
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.98+0.930.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.76+0.760.000.000.00