Round 1 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-score-sum

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 11.74.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.74 (+0.047)
In: 11.69
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
15
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.959.12+0.1676
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital11.8812.13+0.2487 → 6
Information & Influence11.8611.860.0005
Governance & Integrity12.1112.110.0009
Financial Strength13.1313.130.0009
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386. Maintenance 275. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, buy 39). 15 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.67 levelsmctsahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.37+0.370.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.36+0.360.000.000.00