Round 16 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 2 actions, and the index +0.108 to 18.26.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index: 18.26 (+0.108); In: 18.15
Rank by index: 1; In: 1
Domains at Tier 1: 7; In: 7
Credits carried: 5; In: 2

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	17.19	17.21	+0.025	2
Strategic Infrastructure	17.12	17.23	+0.112	1
National Security	17.00	17.13	+0.128	2
Human Capital	19.84	19.89	+0.042	1
Information & Influence	18.67	18.75	+0.078	1
Governance & Integrity	18.82	18.89	+0.071	1
Financial Strength	17.52	17.61	+0.085	1
Production & Innovation	17.91	18.30	+0.386	1
Trade & Investment	19.30	19.34	+0.046	1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,109, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 1,029. Spent 77 on actions (build 22, buy 55). 5 carried over.

BuyStructural Transformation & Complexity55 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts
BuildFinancial System Depth & Access22 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +4.4 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Events	Graph
Structural Transformation & Complexity	+1.78	+1.75	+0.04	−0.01
Labour & Employment	+0.72	+0.67	+0.04	+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access	+0.34	+0.29	+0.04	+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.27	+0.20	+0.04	+0.03
Space Operations	+0.23	0.00	+0.07	+0.15
Land Power	+0.18	0.00	+0.07	+0.11