Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.076 to 16.42.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.42 (−0.076)
- In: 16.49
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 201
- In: 98
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.08 | −0.084 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.83 | −0.193 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.20 | −0.081 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 16.52 | 17.05 | +0.531 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.97 | −0.184 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.38 | −0.098 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 17.15 | −0.208 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.92 | 15.76 | −0.156 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.54 | 16.32 | −0.212 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 951, plus 98 carried in. Maintenance 611. Spent 238 on actions (build 190, partner 48). 201 carried over.
- PartnerTechnical & Vocational Skills48 credits for 2.18 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 3.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence48 credits for 2.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 2.32 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education48 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −10.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.45 | +1.55 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.41 | +1.51 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.03 | +1.14 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.85 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.64 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |