Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.212 to 16.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.84 (+0.212)
- In: 16.62
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 383
- In: 279
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.13 | 16.17 | +0.043 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.94 | 16.03 | +0.096 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.29 | 16.38 | +0.085 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.92 | 18.42 | +0.505 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.07 | 17.17 | +0.102 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.49 | 16.59 | +0.108 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.18 | 17.32 | +0.142 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.24 | 16.38 | +0.132 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.36 | 17.05 | +0.695 | 3 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 968, plus 279 carried in. Maintenance 630. Spent 235 on actions (build 47, buy 47, partner 141). 383 carried over.
- BuyExport Capability & Sophistication47 credits for 1.82 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access47 credits for 2.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance47 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position47 credits for 2.70 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.84 | +1.82 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.49 | +1.46 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.38 | +1.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +1.38 | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.88 | +2.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.78 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |