Round 8 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.079 to 17.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.42 (+0.079)
In: 17.34
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
474
In: 472
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6416.65+0.0092
Strategic Infrastructure16.2016.33+0.1262
National Security16.4716.48+0.0172
Human Capital18.6918.87+0.1851
Information & Influence17.3417.38+0.0442
Governance & Integrity16.7916.93+0.1421
Financial Strength17.7917.82+0.0291
Production & Innovation16.9817.12+0.1411
Trade & Investment19.1919.21+0.0171

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,092, plus 472 carried in. Maintenance 825. Spent 265 on actions (build 265). 474 carried over.

  • BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure53 credits for 1.63 levelsmctsahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development53 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption53 credits for 2.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation53 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Early Childhood Development+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.78+0.770.000.00+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.49+0.470.000.00+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.47+0.410.000.00+0.06
Population Health+0.43+0.430.000.000.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.41+0.410.000.00+0.01