Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.179 to 17.24.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.24 (+0.179)
- In: 17.06
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 510
- In: 490
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.32 | 16.48 | +0.161 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.09 | 16.19 | +0.098 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.14 | 16.14 | +0.003 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.50 | 18.72 | +0.227 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.49 | 17.83 | +0.341 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.41 | 16.63 | +0.226 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.29 | 17.35 | +0.055 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.65 | 16.87 | +0.220 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.67 | 18.95 | +0.280 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,043, plus 490 carried in. Maintenance 766. Spent 257 on actions (build 206, partner 51). 510 carried over.
- BuildArtificial Intelligence51 credits for 1.52 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade51 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health51 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLabour & Employment51 credits for 2.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption51 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +13.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & Services Trade | +1.32 | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.03 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.04 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Early Childhood Development | +1.02 | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.07 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | +1.00 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.07 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.87 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.08 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.81 | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.01 |