Round 12 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-score-sum

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.181 to 17.95.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.95 (+0.181)
In: 17.77
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
151
In: 281
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7016.89+0.1882
Strategic Infrastructure16.5016.69+0.1911
National Security16.2516.31+0.0623
Human Capital19.3819.58+0.2011
Information & Influence18.5018.79+0.2921
Governance & Integrity17.7018.09+0.3921
Financial Strength17.4417.49+0.0581
Production & Innovation18.1618.40+0.2361
Trade & Investment19.3419.35+0.0081

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,054, plus 281 carried in. Maintenance 920. Spent 264 on actions (build 158, buy 105). 151 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies53 credits for 1.68 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability53 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity53 credits for 2.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure53 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance53 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.69+1.680.000.00+0.01
Diaspora & Global Communities+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Advanced Manufacturing+0.98+0.940.000.00+0.04
Population Health+0.89+0.880.000.00+0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.81+0.800.000.00+0.01