Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 36 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 2 actions, Global funding seizure and Middle East settlement, and the index −0.062 to 18.06.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 18.06 (−0.062)
- In: 18.13
- Rank by index
- 1
- In: 1
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.15 | 17.05 | −0.098 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.83 | 16.87 | +0.033 | 1 |
| National Security | 16.47 | 16.67 | +0.192 | 3 → 2 |
| Human Capital | 19.66 | 19.69 | +0.024 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.94 | 18.91 | −0.030 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 18.47 | 18.68 | +0.210 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.71 | 17.34 | −0.372 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.52 | 18.34 | −0.187 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.36 | 19.03 | −0.329 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,069, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 1,005. Spent 74 on actions (build 21, partner 53). 1 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance53 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure21 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +13.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | +1.08 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | +1.04 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.02 |
| Justice System & Fundamental Rights | +0.81 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | +0.65 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | +0.02 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.54 | 0.00 |