Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.152 to 17.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.93 (+0.152)
- In: 17.78
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 163
- In: 261
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.91 | 16.95 | +0.037 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.54 | 16.81 | +0.271 | 1 |
| National Security | 16.67 | 16.69 | +0.026 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 19.46 | 19.66 | +0.203 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.85 | 18.05 | +0.195 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.47 | 17.78 | +0.312 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.76 | 17.77 | +0.012 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.09 | 18.37 | +0.281 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.30 | 19.33 | +0.032 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,087, plus 261 carried in. Maintenance 913. Spent 272 on actions (build 163, buy 54, partner 54). 163 carried over.
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure54 credits for 1.65 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability54 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation54 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure54 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption54 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +4.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Transformation & Complexity | +1.73 | +1.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.03 | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Manufacturing | +1.00 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.89 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| Population Health | +0.88 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Health System Capability | +0.83 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 |