Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 27 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.170 to 17.06.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.06 (+0.170)
- In: 16.89
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 386
- In: 327
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.16 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 16.03 | 0.000 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.46 | 18.56 | +0.103 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 17.16 | +0.007 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.48 | +0.002 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.45 | 17.58 | +0.126 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.45 | 16.66 | +0.212 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.52 | 18.60 | +1.077 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 976, plus 327 carried in. Maintenance 679. Spent 238 on actions (build 95, partner 143). 386 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.87 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.18 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics48 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEarly Childhood Development48 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +2.48 | +2.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.47 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.40 | +1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.37 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.12 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +1.11 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |