Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 30 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.097 to 17.50.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.50 (+0.097)
- In: 17.41
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 336
- In: 372
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.43 | 16.79 | +0.368 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.43 | 16.42 | −0.009 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.31 | 16.33 | +0.025 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 19.07 | 19.21 | +0.142 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.74 | 17.82 | +0.079 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.78 | 16.95 | +0.173 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.70 | 17.61 | −0.089 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.15 | 17.44 | +0.285 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.05 | 18.95 | −0.099 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,069, plus 372 carried in. Maintenance 839. Spent 267 on actions (build 160, buy 107). 336 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing53 credits for 2.19 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence53 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity53 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights53 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLabour & Employment53 credits for 2.55 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.14 | +2.28 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +2.11 | +2.19 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Diaspora & Global Communities | +0.78 | +0.86 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Structural Transformation & Complexity | +0.77 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | +0.72 | +0.85 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.03 |
| Early Childhood Development | +0.69 | +1.08 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |