Round 6 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.077 to 7.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.46 (+0.077)
In: 7.38
Rank by index
75
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.203.38+0.17710
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.88+0.0017
National Security4.614.62+0.0109
Human Capital8.418.61+0.19811 → 10
Information & Influence8.638.78+0.1457
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.57+0.00517
Production & Innovation7.837.83+0.00514
Trade & Investment8.398.54+0.15412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 32 on actions (build 7, buy 17, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.78+0.780.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.66+0.660.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.49+0.490.000.000.00