Round 3 · simulation 27 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 27 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.146 to 16.30.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.30 (+0.146)
In: 16.16
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
258
In: 167
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0022
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.32+0.0052
National Security14.4114.41+0.0013
Human Capital17.4417.98+0.5351
Information & Influence15.7816.28+0.4962 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0014
Financial Strength16.2216.29+0.0734 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.88+0.2052

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 907, plus 167 carried in. Maintenance 590. Spent 224 on actions (build 90, partner 135). 258 carried over.

  • PartnerTechnical & Vocational Skills45 credits for 1.36 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education45 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access45 credits for 2.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education45 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks45 credits for 2.50 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.89+1.890.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.70+1.700.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.43+1.430.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.32+1.320.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.25+1.250.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.72+0.720.000.000.00