Round 4 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 41 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.169 to 16.45.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.45 (+0.169)
In: 16.29
Rank by index
4
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
283
In: 223
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.39+0.0752
National Security14.6314.68+0.0483
Human Capital17.9418.25+0.3091
Information & Influence16.0616.74+0.6781
Governance & Integrity15.8415.84+0.0024
Financial Strength16.1816.30+0.1134 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6316.72+0.0861
Trade & Investment16.8817.09+0.2072 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 902, plus 223 carried in. Maintenance 620. Spent 222 on actions (build 89, buy 89, partner 44). 283 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure44 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks44 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance44 credits for 2.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.83+2.810.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.42+1.420.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.24+1.240.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.68+1.320.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.66+0.660.000.000.00