Round 10 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.076 to 11.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.077)
In: 11.61
Rank by index
30
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
342
In: 274
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.878.92+0.0516
Strategic Infrastructure13.4013.42+0.0193
National Security9.319.31−0.0025
Human Capital13.9814.13+0.1492
Information & Influence11.7811.79+0.0116
Governance & Integrity11.5811.60+0.02610
Financial Strength12.4712.58+0.11111 → 10
Production & Innovation11.4611.67+0.2068 → 5
Trade & Investment11.6611.77+0.1157

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 434, plus 274 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 63 on actions (build 13, buy 25, partner 25). 342 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence13 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +7.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 11 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.20+1.100.00+0.05+0.05
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.66+0.660.00+0.02−0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.66+0.580.00+0.02+0.05
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.59+0.520.00+0.01+0.05
Advanced Education+0.36+0.310.00+0.02+0.02
Digital & AI Competence+0.20+0.180.00+0.020.00