Round 12 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.124 to 11.91.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.91 (+0.124)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
466
In: 387
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.089.24+0.1606 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure13.4613.51+0.0533
National Security9.329.33+0.0115
Human Capital14.1814.24+0.0602
Information & Influence11.9212.15+0.2276 → 4
Governance & Integrity11.6311.65+0.0279
Financial Strength12.6412.65+0.01210
Production & Innovation11.7111.77+0.0565
Trade & Investment12.1112.63+0.5117 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 457, plus 387 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 68 on actions (buy 14, partner 54). 466 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies14 credits for 1.23 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation14 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade14 credits for 1.19 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics14 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.6 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.26+1.260.00+0.01−0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.25+1.230.00+0.020.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.13+1.110.00+0.02−0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.66+0.600.00+0.02+0.04
Global Value Chain Position+0.60+0.550.00+0.02+0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.60+0.560.00+0.02+0.01