Round 16 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.095 to 12.31.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.31 (+0.095)
In: 12.22
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
623
In: 565
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.9110.06+0.1585
Strategic Infrastructure13.6413.69+0.0483
National Security9.389.39+0.0165
Human Capital14.5014.63+0.1352
Information & Influence12.5012.53+0.0254
Governance & Integrity11.7111.74+0.0309
Financial Strength12.7812.81+0.02710
Production & Innovation12.1712.32+0.1494
Trade & Investment13.3913.66+0.2665

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 461, plus 565 carried in. Maintenance 334. Spent 69 on actions (buy 41, partner 27). 623 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation14 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation14 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +7.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.19+1.160.00+0.02+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.76+0.720.00+0.02+0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.68+0.650.00+0.01+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.63+0.580.00+0.02+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.56+0.520.00+0.02+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.55+0.520.00+0.02+0.01