Round 20 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 12.77.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.77 (+0.102)
In: 12.67
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
780
In: 715
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9711.22+0.2495 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure13.8313.88+0.0453
National Security9.449.45+0.0155
Human Capital14.8114.92+0.1031
Information & Influence13.1713.19+0.0253
Governance & Integrity11.8411.87+0.0359
Financial Strength13.0013.03+0.0319
Production & Innovation12.4712.77+0.2994 → 3
Trade & Investment14.4614.57+0.1183

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 506, plus 715 carried in. Maintenance 366. Spent 75 on actions (buy 75). 780 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing15 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation15 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.19+1.010.00+0.02+0.15
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.11+1.050.00+0.05+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.93+0.900.00+0.02+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.77+0.740.00+0.02+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.73+0.670.00+0.01+0.05
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.56+0.540.00+0.020.00