Round 11 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.104 to 12.55.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.55 (+0.104)
In: 12.45
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
503
In: 460
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.819.95+0.1466 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure14.0314.06+0.0363
National Security9.459.46+0.0145
Human Capital14.9315.01+0.0821
Information & Influence12.6312.86+0.2355 → 4
Governance & Integrity12.3912.40+0.0039
Financial Strength13.3913.40+0.0169
Production & Innovation12.4712.51+0.0415
Trade & Investment12.9313.29+0.3626 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 458, plus 460 carried in. Maintenance 342. Spent 72 on actions (build 15, buy 15, partner 43). 503 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.23 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence15 credits for 1.21 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access15 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.29+1.290.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.28+1.230.000.00+0.05
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.69+0.610.000.00+0.09
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.63+0.630.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.59+0.560.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.57+0.570.000.00+0.01