Round 16 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 13.01.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.01 (+0.084)
In: 12.93
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
573
In: 533
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6010.84+0.2475
Strategic Infrastructure14.1714.20+0.0243
National Security9.539.54+0.0155
Human Capital15.3615.49+0.1301
Information & Influence13.2113.32+0.1054
Governance & Integrity12.4212.42+0.0079
Financial Strength13.6213.65+0.0258
Production & Innovation13.0213.05+0.0364
Trade & Investment14.4414.60+0.1604 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 483, plus 533 carried in. Maintenance 372. Spent 71 on actions (build 14, buy 43, partner 14). 573 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation14 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies14 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation14 credits for 0.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication14 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.15+1.140.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.10+1.090.000.00+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.70+0.640.000.00+0.07
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.55+0.540.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.54+0.530.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.50+0.470.000.00+0.02