Round 8 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.081 to 11.72.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.72 (+0.081)
In: 11.64
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
404
In: 333
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.397.61+0.2176
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.87+0.0105
National Security7.507.54+0.0416
Human Capital15.2015.28+0.0801
Information & Influence10.9511.07+0.1146
Governance & Integrity15.2415.25+0.0084
Financial Strength12.6712.69+0.0219
Production & Innovation12.7812.79+0.0075
Trade & Investment12.2012.43+0.2327 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 405, plus 333 carried in. Maintenance 274. Spent 60 on actions (buy 12, partner 48). 404 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication12 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +2.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.21+1.200.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.81+0.790.00+0.01+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.64+0.620.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.62+0.590.00+0.01+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.49+0.530.00+0.01−0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.48+0.460.00+0.01+0.01