Round 12 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.076 to 12.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.09 (+0.077)
In: 12.02
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
602
In: 535
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.688.86+0.1815
Strategic Infrastructure11.0011.03+0.0295
National Security7.637.67+0.0416
Human Capital15.3215.33+0.0081
Information & Influence11.7511.87+0.1206 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.2815.29+0.0093
Financial Strength12.7512.75+0.0058
Production & Innovation12.9413.05+0.1135
Trade & Investment12.8112.99+0.1806 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 428, plus 535 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 64 on actions (buy 26, partner 38). 602 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.18+1.170.00+0.010.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.68+0.670.00+0.010.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.600.000.00+0.05
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.63+0.570.00+0.01+0.05
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.53+0.520.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.42+0.400.00+0.01+0.01