Round 14 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.078 to 12.27.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.27 (+0.077)
In: 12.19
Rank by index
27
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
645
In: 595
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.139.41+0.2745
Strategic Infrastructure11.0511.11+0.0575
National Security7.717.74+0.0346
Human Capital15.3315.35+0.0171
Information & Influence12.1712.38+0.2064
Governance & Integrity15.2815.28−0.0013
Financial Strength12.7812.79+0.0128
Production & Innovation13.0713.08+0.0125
Trade & Investment13.1813.26+0.0865

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 421, plus 595 carried in. Maintenance 308. Spent 63 on actions (build 13, buy 38, partner 13). 645 carried over.

  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position13 credits for 1.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure13 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.17+1.100.000.00+0.07
Energy Technologies+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.61+0.570.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.54+0.550.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.51+0.500.000.00+0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.40+0.380.000.00+0.02