Round 9 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.309 to 16.61.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.61 (−0.308)
In: 16.92
Rank by index
3
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,728
In: 1,551
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4316.15−0.2773
Strategic Infrastructure15.8615.65−0.2142
National Security16.3515.73−0.6222 → 3
Human Capital18.2518.31+0.0521
Information & Influence16.9916.34−0.6502
Governance & Integrity16.3916.05−0.3341
Financial Strength17.4116.92−0.4881
Production & Innovation16.6316.46−0.1701
Trade & Investment17.9717.90−0.0771

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,164, plus 1,551 carried in. Maintenance 820. Spent 168 on actions (build 67, buy 67, partner 34). 1,728 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance34 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration34 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development34 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure34 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies34 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −9.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −20.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.07+1.840.00−0.770.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.880.000.00−0.89+0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−0.880.000.00−0.880.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.870.000.00−0.870.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.860.000.00−0.88+0.02