Round 20 · simulation 1 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.035 to 6.88.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.88 (+0.034)
In: 6.85
Rank by index
83
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
128
In: 116
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.434.64+0.2117
Strategic Infrastructure6.446.45+0.0099
National Security3.673.67+0.0059
Human Capital8.338.32−0.01310
Information & Influence8.668.65−0.0017
Governance & Integrity7.987.97−0.01016
Financial Strength7.337.32−0.00421
Production & Innovation7.037.09+0.06915 → 14
Trade & Investment7.787.82+0.04211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 152, plus 116 carried in. Maintenance 117. Spent 23 on actions (buy 23). 128 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.56+0.530.000.00+0.03
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.50+0.510.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.27+0.280.000.000.00