Round 19 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.017 to 6.13.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.13 (+0.017)
In: 6.11
Rank by index
95
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
158
In: 143
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.783.82+0.0388
Strategic Infrastructure5.715.67−0.0339
National Security3.803.79−0.0099
Human Capital7.277.25−0.01312
Information & Influence7.587.58−0.0078
Governance & Integrity7.477.46−0.01017
Financial Strength6.226.26+0.03723
Production & Innovation6.296.28−0.01616
Trade & Investment6.907.07+0.16613 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 137, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 101. Spent 20 on actions (buy 4, partner 16). 158 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.50+0.530.000.00−0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.38+0.390.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.25+0.270.000.00−0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.23+0.240.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.22+0.230.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.21+0.250.000.00−0.04