Round 20 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.041 to 7.84.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.84 (+0.042)
In: 7.80
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
40
In: 46
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.435.63+0.2006
Strategic Infrastructure7.998.00+0.0117
National Security4.704.72+0.0189
Human Capital8.698.69+0.0018
Information & Influence9.169.16+0.0037
Governance & Integrity8.828.820.00015
Financial Strength8.398.390.00018
Production & Innovation8.038.17+0.13212 → 11
Trade & Investment8.999.00+0.00911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 165, plus 46 carried in. Maintenance 146. Spent 25 on actions (buy 25). 40 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.56+0.540.000.00+0.02
Energy Technologies+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.37+0.360.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.22+0.210.000.000.00