Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.183 to 16.29.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.29 (+0.183)
- In: 16.11
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,382
- In: 1,212
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.76 | 16.02 | +0.260 | 3 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.36 | 16.44 | +0.084 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.40 | 14.40 | +0.003 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.09 | 18.29 | +0.195 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.09 | 16.37 | +0.273 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.71 | 15.80 | +0.098 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 15.73 | 15.99 | +0.255 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.30 | 16.52 | +0.216 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.55 | 16.81 | +0.260 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,043, plus 1,212 carried in. Maintenance 721. Spent 153 on actions (build 31, buy 31, partner 92). 1,382 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.95 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.9 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.00 | +1.95 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.41 | +1.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +1.28 | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.07 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.93 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.60 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |