Round 4 · simulation 7 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.093 to 16.20.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.20 (+0.093)
In: 16.10
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
1,053
In: 836
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1516.19+0.0372
Strategic Infrastructure16.4016.45+0.0511
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.9517.31+0.3601
Information & Influence15.5315.76+0.2283 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.9215.97+0.0513
Financial Strength16.1116.14+0.0304
Production & Innovation16.7116.75+0.0431
Trade & Investment16.7416.78+0.0392

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 836 carried in. Maintenance 673. Spent 157 on actions (build 94, partner 63). 1,053 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation31 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling31 credits for 2.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 2.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.26+1.240.00+0.020.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.11+1.040.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.00+0.960.00+0.040.00
Advanced Education+0.54+0.500.00+0.040.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.37+0.330.00+0.040.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.080.000.00+0.080.00