Round 15 · simulation 7 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.289 to 16.83.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.83 (−0.289)
In: 17.12
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 6
Credits carried
1,295
In: 1,441
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.8616.75−0.1122
Strategic Infrastructure16.9516.62−0.3331 → 2
National Security14.6714.51−0.1613
Human Capital18.7818.55−0.2301
Information & Influence17.7817.49−0.2971
Governance & Integrity16.6316.65+0.0143
Financial Strength16.5215.89−0.6281 → 2
Production & Innovation17.3217.09−0.2281
Trade & Investment18.5417.91−0.6301

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 955, plus 1,441 carried in. Maintenance 937. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, buy 33). 1,295 carried over.

  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 0 per cent
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 1 per cent
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation33 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −21.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.980.000.00−0.99+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.980.000.00−0.97−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.820.000.00−0.84+0.02
Energy Infrastructure−0.740.000.00−0.75+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.720.000.00−0.74+0.02
Transport Infrastructure−0.720.000.00−0.74+0.02